fire weather watch

Hey Paul, excellent video. Could you do a video at some point about Canada's wildfires, and how many wildfires burning at the same time constitutes a declaration of emergency in Canada versus the California level of 20 wildfires generally constituting an emergency declaration? Also the number of times Canada has had hundreds of wildfires burning simultaneously and the various tree species covering those different areas where fires have been especially prevalent and pushing further north into the Arctic circle since 2023? The Guardian recently covered some of this data

The finger print of climate change is so much bigger now that it can't be unseen. There's been earthquakes around thwaites glacier, things are moving faster now and we don't have time on our side anymore.

When a tree dies it releases it's (stored) carbon to the land sea and sky slowly over time. When a tree burns it releases it quickly. In another reinforcing feedback the more trees that burn, the faster you burn trees. Hard to believe the orange guy is still saying "drill baby drill"......

I’m watching Utah where I used to live. They’ve had one of the worst ski season since the 70s. I think fire danger will be real high especially considering the amount of people that live there compared to back then same deal with Denver

Hey Paul, excellent video. Could you do a video at some point about Canada's wildfires, and how many wildfires burning at the same time constitutes a declaration of emergency in Canada versus the California level of 20 wildfires generally constituting an emergency declaration? Also the number of times Canada has had hundreds of wildfires burning simultaneously and the various tree species covering those different areas where fires have been especially prevalent and pushing further north into the Arctic circle since 2023? The Guardian recently covered some of this data

Between wildfires and oil being blown up literally, these are all the accelrants needed to reach that 1.5 degrees and maybe even 2 if nukes are used, by the end of this year or next realistically.

Sucks this SAME info will be used to start/fight wars . . . Setting fire, for example, to dried out taiga…. ( a tactic forewarned DECADES ago which seems HIGHLY Likely ). Sucks when good science reports will,be weaponized.

Hey Paul, excellent video. Could you do a video at some point about Canada's wildfires, and how many wildfires burning at the same time constitutes a declaration of emergency in Canada versus the California level of 20 wildfires generally constituting an emergency declaration? Also the number of times Canada has had hundreds of wildfires burning simultaneously and the various tree species covering those different areas where fires have been especially prevalent and pushing further north into the Arctic circle since 2023? The Guardian recently covered some of this data

"The prolonged dry spell has also pushed temperatures upward. “When there is no rain or snow for long periods, temperatures can shoot up,” Ahmad said, warning that the combination of warmth and dryness is becoming increasingly alarming." From: "Dry winter and rising temperatures leave Kashmir’s lifeline Jhelum river at historic low" On YT: "Why Did This Farm Survive Vermont's Extreme Floods?" (Soils in general not prepared to be resilient to both floods and wild fires) Fewer areas not covered by concrete/asphalt mean fewer places where heat + moisture can go deep into soil, and flat buildings let wind speed up so less mixing of humid air since water vapor causing braking eddies, will stir the air in better contact with the environment (to let stones/trees fill up their heat capacity), modern materials often use low heat capacity plastic to isolate buildings.

Increasing Human Fingerprint for Global Extreme Fire Weather: More Heatwaves, Droughts, High Winds I chat about recent research on global wildfires. More importantly, Newton had a haircut today. He is a new dog!! I weighed him before and after. The weight of his removed fur was 2.6 lbs, very close to my guess of 2.7 lbs!!! Please donate to http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem. References and Links: Recent article from space.com: Wildfires are getting more intense around the world due to human-driven climate change https://www.space.com/science/climate-change/wildfires-are-getting-more-intense-around-the-world-due-to-human-driven-climate-change Recent Peer-Reviewed Scientific Journal Paper from Earth System Science Journal State of Wildfires 2024–2025 https://essd.copernicus.org/articles/17/5377/2025/essd-17-5377-2025.pdf Abstract. Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme wildfires globally, yet our understanding of these high-impact events remains uneven and shaped by media attention and regional research biases. The State of Wildfires project systematically tracks global and regional fire activity of each annual fire season, analyses the causes of prominent extreme wildfire events, and projects the likelihood of similar events occurring in future climate scenarios. This, its second annual report, covers the March 2024 to February 2025 fire season. During the 2024–2025 fire season, fire-related carbon (C) emissions totaled 2.2 Pg C, 9 % above average and the sixth highest on record since 2003, despite below-average global burned area (BA). Extreme fire seasons in South America’s rainforests, dry forests, and wetlands and in Canada’s boreal forests pushed up the global C emissions total. Fire C emissions were over 4 times above average in Bolivia, 3 times above average in Canada, and ∼ 50 % above average in Brazil and Venezuela. Wildfires in 2024–2025 caused 100 fatalities in Nepal, 34 in South Africa, and 31 in Los Angeles, with additional fatalities reported in Canada, Côte d’Ivoire, Portugal, and Türkiye. The Eaton and Palisades fires in Southern California caused 150 000 evacuations and USD 140 billion in damages. Communities in Brazil, Bolivia, Southern California, and northern India were exposed to fine particulate matter at concentrations 13–60 times WHO’s daily air quality standards. We evaluated the causes and predictability of four extreme wildfire episodes from the 2024–2025 fire season, including in Northeast Amazonia (January–March 2024), the Pantanal–Chiquitano border regions of Brazil and Bolivia (August–September 2024), Southern California (January 2025), and the Congo Basin (July–August 2024). Anomalous weather created conditions for these regional extremes, while fuel availability and human ignitions shaped spatial patterns and temporal fire dynamics. In the three tropical regions, prolonged drought was the dominant fire enabler, whereas in California, extreme heat, wind, and antecedent fuel build-up were compounding enablers. Our attribution analyses show that climate change made extreme fire weather in Northeast Amazonia 30–70 times more likely, increasing BA roughly 4-fold compared to a scenario without climate change. In the Pantanal–Chiquitano, fire weather was 4–5 times more likely, with 35-fold increases in BA. Meanwhile, our analyses suggest that BA was 25 times higher in Southern California due to climate change. The Congo Basin’s fire weather was 3–8 times more likely with climate change, with a 2.7-fold increase in BA. Socioeconomic changes since the pre-industrial period, including land-use change, also likely increased BA in Northeast Amazonia. Our models project that events on the scale of 2024–2025 will become up to 57 %, 34 %, and 50 % more frequent than in the modern era in Northeast Amazonia, the Pantanal–Chiquitano, and the Congo Basin, respectively, under a medium–high scenario (SSP370) by 2100. Climate action can limit the added risk, with frequency increases held to below 15 % in all three regions under a strong mitigation scenario (SSP126). In Southern California, the future trajectory of extreme fire likelihood remains highly uncertain due to poorly constrained climate–vegetation–fire interactions influencing fuel moisture, though our models suggest that risk may decline in future... New paper: Science Advances: The emerging human fingerprint on global extreme fire weather https://www.science.org/doi/epdf/10.1126/sciadv.adx9845 Please donate to http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem. Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...

How much C02 in 2.7 lbs of dog hair?

Increasing Human Fingerprint for Global Extreme Fire Weather: More Heatwaves, Droughts, High Winds I chat about recent research on global wildfires. More importantly, Newton had a haircut today. He is a new dog!! I weighed him before and after. The weight of his removed fur was 2.6 lbs, very close to my guess of 2.7 lbs!!! Please donate to http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem. References and Links: Recent article from space.com: Wildfires are getting more intense around the world due to human-driven climate change https://www.space.com/science/climate-change/wildfires-are-getting-more-intense-around-the-world-due-to-human-driven-climate-change Recent Peer-Reviewed Scientific Journal Paper from Earth System Science Journal State of Wildfires 2024–2025 https://essd.copernicus.org/articles/17/5377/2025/essd-17-5377-2025.pdf Abstract. Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme wildfires globally, yet our understanding of these high-impact events remains uneven and shaped by media attention and regional research biases. The State of Wildfires project systematically tracks global and regional fire activity of each annual fire season, analyses the causes of prominent extreme wildfire events, and projects the likelihood of similar events occurring in future climate scenarios. This, its second annual report, covers the March 2024 to February 2025 fire season. During the 2024–2025 fire season, fire-related carbon (C) emissions totaled 2.2 Pg C, 9 % above average and the sixth highest on record since 2003, despite below-average global burned area (BA). Extreme fire seasons in South America’s rainforests, dry forests, and wetlands and in Canada’s boreal forests pushed up the global C emissions total. Fire C emissions were over 4 times above average in Bolivia, 3 times above average in Canada, and ∼ 50 % above average in Brazil and Venezuela. Wildfires in 2024–2025 caused 100 fatalities in Nepal, 34 in South Africa, and 31 in Los Angeles, with additional fatalities reported in Canada, Côte d’Ivoire, Portugal, and Türkiye. The Eaton and Palisades fires in Southern California caused 150 000 evacuations and USD 140 billion in damages. Communities in Brazil, Bolivia, Southern California, and northern India were exposed to fine particulate matter at concentrations 13–60 times WHO’s daily air quality standards. We evaluated the causes and predictability of four extreme wildfire episodes from the 2024–2025 fire season, including in Northeast Amazonia (January–March 2024), the Pantanal–Chiquitano border regions of Brazil and Bolivia (August–September 2024), Southern California (January 2025), and the Congo Basin (July–August 2024). Anomalous weather created conditions for these regional extremes, while fuel availability and human ignitions shaped spatial patterns and temporal fire dynamics. In the three tropical regions, prolonged drought was the dominant fire enabler, whereas in California, extreme heat, wind, and antecedent fuel build-up were compounding enablers. Our attribution analyses show that climate change made extreme fire weather in Northeast Amazonia 30–70 times more likely, increasing BA roughly 4-fold compared to a scenario without climate change. In the Pantanal–Chiquitano, fire weather was 4–5 times more likely, with 35-fold increases in BA. Meanwhile, our analyses suggest that BA was 25 times higher in Southern California due to climate change. The Congo Basin’s fire weather was 3–8 times more likely with climate change, with a 2.7-fold increase in BA. Socioeconomic changes since the pre-industrial period, including land-use change, also likely increased BA in Northeast Amazonia. Our models project that events on the scale of 2024–2025 will become up to 57 %, 34 %, and 50 % more frequent than in the modern era in Northeast Amazonia, the Pantanal–Chiquitano, and the Congo Basin, respectively, under a medium–high scenario (SSP370) by 2100. Climate action can limit the added risk, with frequency increases held to below 15 % in all three regions under a strong mitigation scenario (SSP126). In Southern California, the future trajectory of extreme fire likelihood remains highly uncertain due to poorly constrained climate–vegetation–fire interactions influencing fuel moisture, though our models suggest that risk may decline in future... New paper: Science Advances: The emerging human fingerprint on global extreme fire weather https://www.science.org/doi/epdf/10.1126/sciadv.adx9845 Please donate to http://PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos connecting the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem. Please subscribe to my YouTube channel. As well as my website, and YouTube, you can find me on Patreon, Facebook, Twitter/X, LinkedIn, Instagram, Reddit (multiple climate channels within), Quora, TikTok, Discord, Mastodon, Twitch, Vimeo, Bluesky, TruthSocial, Threads, Substack, Tumblr, Pinterest, etc...

i thought Canada is metric.. i allways wonder why people of academic education use imperial (GB and former colonies) or US custom units as this is so outdated and inconvenient if not impractical.